Politics And Current Events

Post by **Gaucho** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 4:42 am

MalkinIsMyHomeboy wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 12:04 am the best flags are the state flags of Liberia. Look hand drawn by an elementary schooler

Those are fantastic.

Post by **NTP66** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 6:17 am

redwill wrote:Source of the post "... but history has made it abundantly clear that the GOP is more than willing to compromise and “work with” Democratic administrations rather than simply kill bills."

Anyone who believes this line above should be checked into a mental hospital, as this is the most laughable thing I've read in this entire thread.

Post by **Sam's Drunk Dog** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 6:23 am

MalkinIsMyHomeboy wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 12:04 am the best flags are the state flags of Liberia. Look hand drawn by an elementary schooler

The bottom right flag is just a field of gray?

Post by **NTP66** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 6:25 am

Sam's Drunk Dog wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 6:23 am
MalkinIsMyHomeboy wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 12:04 am the best flags are the state flags of Liberia. Look hand drawn by an elementary schooler

The bottom right flag is just a field of gray?

It's a visual representation of the collective GOP think tank.

Post by **Trip McNeely** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 6:31 am

Russia completely pulled out of Kherson. Ukraine’s advancement the past 6 months has been nothing short of amazing.

Post by **NTP66** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 6:41 am

They should still surrender to Putin, though. It's the only choice.

Post by **Shyster** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 6:52 am

Post by **faftorial** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 7:02 am

Post by **CBear3** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 9:31 am

Eh, I'll give her speech writer that one. If it were anybody else that would have elicited a chuckled around here I think.

Post by **Tomas** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 11:07 am

AZ Governor still a perfect toss-up, but percentages turning blue - 56% D.

D chances to control the Senate now at 95% (mainly because NV is now 85% victory for D, despite D candidate trailing by 1% in actual voting).

And the November 2022 future President of the USA is Ron DeSantis with 30%, ahead of DT&JB who hover around 17%.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Post by **NTP66** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 11:11 am

That's it, ban Tomas for the day.

Post by **nocera** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 11:13 am

What does FiveThirtyEight say?

Post by **Tomas** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 11:36 am

nocera wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 11:13 am What does FiveThirtyEight say?

I think in their updates, 538 people generally agree with the prediction markets:
- that the D candidate in NV gets much greater shares of newly-counted votes
- that the D candidate in AZ Gov race is facing more uncertainty because even though the rural counties are mostly accounted for, the county with Phoenix is quite unpredictable...

But they will not mention percentage chances because that would not promote their "brand".

Post by **Troy Loney** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 11:42 am

Dave Wasserman "has seen enough" on the AZ race to call it for Kelly.

John Ralston is the NV elections guru that can explain how remaining votes will align. He has been saying the Dem is likely to win the senate but not governor.

Post by **tifosi77** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 12:13 pm

Tomas, he wasn't actually.. you know what, never mind.

I feel like we're in the PDT version of an elderly person watching football who thinks the team scored again when they show a replay.

Post by **Gaucho** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 12:14 pm

snicker

Post by **King Colby** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:13 pm

Why are people so triggered by election odds?

Post by **nocera** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:18 pm

King Colby wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:13 pm Why are people so triggered by election odds?

It’s just a goof since they’ve been so wrong the last few elections.

Post by **faftorial** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:19 pm

King Colby wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:13 pm Why are people so triggered by election odds?

I'm not triggered by it but weren't the election odds all wrong in predicting a red wave a few days before the election? I asked @Tomas but didn't get an answer.

Post by **Beveridge** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:20 pm

That's why they play the game, baby!

Post by **King Colby** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:40 pm

Faftorial wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:19 pm
King Colby wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:13 pm Why are people so triggered by election odds?
I'm not triggered by it but weren't the election odds all wrong in predicting a red wave a few days before the election? I asked @Tomas but didn't get an answer.

I thought he said it's literally based on where money is being bet

Post by **faftorial** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 3:20 pm

King Colby wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:40 pm
Faftorial wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:19 pm
King Colby wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 2:13 pm Why are people so triggered by election odds?
I'm not triggered by it but weren't the election odds all wrong in predicting a red wave a few days before the election? I asked @Tomas but didn't get an answer.
I thought he said it's literally based on where money is being bet

My understanding was that the betters predict who is going to win.

Otherwise, why would we care where the money is being bet?

Post by **faftorial** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 3:20 pm

Maybe @Tomas can explain.

Post by **Dickie Dunn** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 3:32 pm

Regarding shyster's student loan boner:

“Judge Pittman’s decision was about as wrong and weird as any federal court ruling I can recall reading,” Tribe said. “He was wrong to decide the merits without first deciding whether either of the two plaintiffs had standing.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/11/biden-a ... eness.html

Post by **dodint** » Fri Nov 11, 2022 3:42 pm

That's what I've read elsewhere as well.

Pittman circumvented the standing issue to get to the merits issue, butchering both.
Biden circumvented Congress to justify his action, according to Shyster.

It's the same behavior but the one that legal scholars and practitioners overwhelmingly agree is completely incorrect is the noble action.

For anyone that didn't read into it, Pittman found that two plaintiffs had standing. One was a borrower with private debt, the other was someone that qualified for $10k but not the Pell kicker. Their 'harm' was that someone got something they didn't. A wet dream for the Shyster-type (folks that never had a stake to begin with).

I hope it does stand on appeal. Imagine the floodgate of toddler-level "It's not fair!" litigation that will have to be heard.