Fifth Avenue Forum

I disagree. I don’t think chances of winning determines whether you run, it’s whether you have donor support to run a campaign. You know the Koch’s and the mercers are going to seed a candidate each to try and beat trump

cruz/hawley/rubio/desantis or any sitting politician can't run in '24 if Trump does. It means they lose, and they get primaried.

kasich could run, but i really think these guys don't want to deal with the Romney/Graham airport confrontations, the death threats, the hit pieces on Fox...there's just nothing to gain when the outcome is certain.

Nope. You are still thinking about this wrong. Trump does not have the network to influence these races. Rubio might get primaried becuase florida, but the others are safe.

I assume the premise of your argument is that if Cruz and Hawley dare challenge Trump, some GOP turd will run to the right (Trump) of him. And sure, I'm sure some idiot would do that, and Trump would endorse him. But what else is Trump going to do? Maybe one rally in the state where the turd introduces Trump, and then Trump gets on stage and rants about how unfair it was that they stole the election in 2020?

Trump does not like, steer donors and money to other people, he makes sure all the money comes to Trump. And it's not like he's going to push his small dollar donors to send money to some senate race.

This just goes to say that Trump is going to win, but he's limited in his ability to really control what other powerful or ambitious GOP figures can do.

I love America and Its Headlines.

Yeah I don’t think you got that right.

Trump is going to be able to decide who gets primaried across the entire GOP. You’ll see these guys resign like Rob Portman before ceding their seat to the next JD Vance. And if they decide to run anyway, then Trump makes an appearance at a rally, and the Vance clone wins.

This doesn’t work in general elections. He’s poisonous like we saw in the GA runoff. But as far as deciding who among the GOP is invited to the show, it’s up to him.

He could end Cruz and Hawleys careers right now if he wanted to.

Speaking of Trump.

This tweet fits in with that nicely:



I'd laugh if it wasn't so goddamn sad.

Yeah I don’t think you got that right.

Trump is going to be able to decide who gets primaried across the entire GOP. You’ll see these guys resign like Rob Portman before ceding their seat to the next JD Vance. And if they decide to run anyway, then Trump makes an appearance at a rally, and the Vance clone wins.

This doesn’t work in general elections. He’s poisonous like we saw in the GA runoff. But as far as deciding who among the GOP is invited to the show, it’s up to him.

He could end Cruz and Hawleys careers right now if he wanted to.

Yeah I don’t think you got that right.

Trump is going to be able to decide who gets primaried across the entire GOP. You’ll see these guys resign like Rob Portman before ceding their seat to the next JD Vance. And if they decide to run anyway, then Trump makes an appearance at a rally, and the Vance clone wins.

This doesn’t work in general elections. He’s poisonous like we saw in the GA runoff. But as far as deciding who among the GOP is invited to the show, it’s up to him.

He could end Cruz and Hawleys careers right now if he wanted to.

You are both wrong. You're not like completely wrong, but your takes are less accurate than mine and that will be proven over time.

Trump vs Cheney would be an interesting debate. How many of the 401k republicans are going to abide by the Bushes and Cheneys being dragged across the asphalt. When he’s forced to sh*t all over the last vestiges of the party they grew up with, are these voters gonna think of the corporate tax rate when November rolls around or are they gonna finally recognize what’s happening.

I labeled it "troy loney bad prediction."

Trump vs Cheney would be an interesting debate. How many of the 401k republicans are going to abide by the Bushes and Cheneys being dragged across the asphalt. When he’s forced to sh*t all over the last vestiges of the party they grew up with, are these voters gonna think of the corporate tax rate when November rolls around or are they gonna finally recognize what’s happening.

The Cheney/Harris comparison is apt when you are thinking about their likely vote totals.

Cheney is a less likable, and less capitalized Jeb.

She's the Black-Asian Dan Quayle.

Harris, I think, is going to end up being a colossal mistake as VP. She is going to be a terrible candidate for prez and hopefully soccer mom Twitter recognizes Klobuchar as more fit for the challenge.