COVID-19
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COVID-19
As a random aside, in Japan it's not uncommon for the celebration to take place years after the legal wedding, which is nothing more than the submission of the proper forms. No ceremony of any kind is required. For a lot of sumo wrestlers, it's not uncommon to see something in the news along the lines of "so-and-so announced that he's been married since last year and the wedding is scheduled for two months after his wife is expected to give birth to their first child, which is three months from now." I've seen pictures of western-style sumo weddings where the ringbearers are the couple's children. There's no rush, and many people don't have ceremonies at all.Now is not the time to be like, "the big celebration [has] to happen at the same time as the legal wedding", imo.
COVID-19
Thanks Freddy. I'm guessing fewer deaths because younger people getting it, better treatment methods, increased testing and older people like me being more careful. Hope it continues, I've had more than enough of this crap. Ruining my summer.
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COVID-19
The lowest 7-day new case average for the nation as a whole was on 6/9 (hehe), meaning the surge started then. It has been 27 days since then and the 7-day death average continues to decrease. Im guessimg a week from now it will have increased but not at the same rate of new cases.
Biggest reasons:
-Age of positives has lowered
-Total number of tests administered catching significantly more cases than they were before
-Hospitals have a COVID playbook now
-Lower viral load from masks and physical distancing
-Potential viral mutation to be less lethal
-significantly better protection of the highest risk population
Biggest reasons:
-Age of positives has lowered
-Total number of tests administered catching significantly more cases than they were before
-Hospitals have a COVID playbook now
-Lower viral load from masks and physical distancing
-Potential viral mutation to be less lethal
-significantly better protection of the highest risk population
COVID-19
Take the hypothetical example below:The lowest 7-day new case average for the nation as a whole was on 6/9 (hehe), meaning the surge started then. It has been 27 days since then and the 7-day death average continues to decrease. Im guessimg a week from now it will have increased but not at the same rate of new cases.
Biggest reasons:
-Age of positives has lowered
-Total number of tests administered catching significantly more cases than they were before
-Hospitals have a COVID playbook now
-Lower viral load from masks and physical distancing
-Potential viral mutation to be less lethal
-significantly better protection of the highest risk population
Say the IFR is .4% for covid.
At our peak deaths we were losing about 2,500 a day, which would mean about 630k people were infected a day at peak. We were barely testing anyone, so we weren’t catching any cases.
Now let’s assume it is still as deadly now at .4%.
Say we are losing around 400 people a day, which would mean we are having about 100k infections per day, though now we are testing almost 10 times more, so catching a lot more of the cases.
So this new peak could actually be a “manufactured” peak.
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COVID-19
Is there a comprehensive place to get total tests by day and percent positive? Would be interesting to extrapolate data from like April 5th to the total number of tests counted on July 5th and see how many new cases there "would have been"
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COVID-19
Regeneron starts Phase 3 trial of Covid antibody drug that might treat and prevent infection, company says
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/06/health/r ... index.html
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/06/health/r ... index.html
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COVID-19
Found it... arbitrarily selected 2 thursdays.
April 9th... 34,055 new cases on 169,694 tests (20% positive)
July 2... 57,319 new cases on 665,084 tests (8.6% positive)
Had there been the same number of tests on 4/9 at the same positive rate, there would have been 133,472 new cases that day.
Obviously there are other variables and this is back of the napkin but you get the point.
April 9th... 34,055 new cases on 169,694 tests (20% positive)
July 2... 57,319 new cases on 665,084 tests (8.6% positive)
Had there been the same number of tests on 4/9 at the same positive rate, there would have been 133,472 new cases that day.
Obviously there are other variables and this is back of the napkin but you get the point.
COVID-19
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/dail ... thed-7-dayIs there a comprehensive place to get total tests by day and percent positive? Would be interesting to extrapolate data from like April 5th to the total number of tests counted on July 5th and see how many new cases there "would have been"
We tested around 130k people a day on April 5th, July 5th around 640k.
April 5th about 26k tested positive per worldometers. So around a 20% positive rate.
Take the test amounts from July 5th and keep the same percentage positive it would be 128k testing positive.
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COVID-19
Regeneron starts Phase 3 trial of Covid antibody drug that might treat and prevent infection, company says
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/06/health/r ... index.html
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COVID-19
I feel like this sums things up the covid debate pretty well.
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COVID-19
at that video...
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COVID-19
ICYMI: ATL mayor tests positive.
https://www.ajc.com/news/local-govt--po ... NkIDqtfXM/
https://www.ajc.com/news/local-govt--po ... NkIDqtfXM/
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COVID-19
Allegheny Co. officials to provide a COVID-19 update as cases continue to spike, 204 new cases reported
https://www.wpxi.com/news/top-stories/a ... UPVMVYL4A/
My guess is they're going to announce the continuation of the bar/restaurant closures. My hunch would be they're going to announce these week-by-week but who knows. I picked up take-out over the weekend and the owner of the restaurant said rumor was it would be a month-long closure.
https://www.wpxi.com/news/top-stories/a ... UPVMVYL4A/
My guess is they're going to announce the continuation of the bar/restaurant closures. My hunch would be they're going to announce these week-by-week but who knows. I picked up take-out over the weekend and the owner of the restaurant said rumor was it would be a month-long closure.
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COVID-19
7 new hospitalizations is somewhat alarming
COVID-19
Yeah hospitalizations are clearly rising. That makes 30 for the past week. And according to everybody's favorite redditor, the last time we have 30 in a week was 5/15-5/21.7 new hospitalizations is somewhat alarming
COVID-19
How many discharged in that same time period though?Yeah hospitalizations are clearly rising. That makes 30 for the past week. And according to everybody's favorite redditor, the last time we have 30 in a week was 5/15-5/21.7 new hospitalizations is somewhat alarming
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