COVID-19

[nocera]

UPMC backing up LITT.

UPMC: Coronavirus patient outcomes are improving
https://triblive.com/local/pittsburgh-a ... y-is-down/

[meow]

dont open mouth kiss strangers

don't tell me how to live my life, ok pal

[NTP66]

The problem is that ding dongs will read that title and skip over this bit entirely:

Minnier also encouraged basic precautions such as hand washing, social distancing and mask-wearing. She supports a statewide policy requiring masks be worn in all public places.

[robbiestoupe]

Is it possible this thing has morphed and we're dealing with a different strain from March? Would explain the less severe cases.

[mikey]

From what I have read, it has mutated very little...

I think it just wasn't that deadly to begin with for regular people...

[count2infinity]

I e seen that they’ve tracked a few different “strains” but none more deadly than another.

[faftorial]

I would hope that by now we aren't seeing nursing home infected as they were at the beginning which would lead to a decrease in the death rate. The population of those getting infected is much younger now.

[grunthy]

Arizona looks like it is plateauing.

[Troy Loney]

Are you basing that on case totals?

Has Arizona done a lockdown in response to the current outrbreak? NYtimes reported today that the testing situation in the state is a mess and the processing of those tests has a backlog.

The only plausible explanation would be that they've reached like an infection ceiling. That this is the extent that the virus can spread.

[grunthy]

Are you basing that on case totals?

Has Arizona done a lockdown in response to the current outrbreak? NYtimes reported today that the testing situation in the state is a mess and the processing of those tests has a backlog.

The only plausible explanation would be that they've reached like an infection ceiling. That this is the extent that the virus can spread.

No they haven’t locked down yet. But they are fluctuating. Same thing happened everywhere else that had a bad outbreak. Massive quick rise in cases then fluctuated for a week to two weeks then started dropping.

[Troy Loney]

Are you basing that on case totals?

Has Arizona done a lockdown in response to the current outrbreak? NYtimes reported today that the testing situation in the state is a mess and the processing of those tests has a backlog.

The only plausible explanation would be that they've reached like an infection ceiling. That this is the extent that the virus can spread.

No they haven’t locked down yet. But they are fluctuating. Same thing happened everywhere else that had a bad outbreak. Massive quick rise in cases then fluctuated for a week to two weeks then started dropping.

Yeah, but those areas responded with strict commercial lockdowns. If Arizonans are still going to work and such, they are going to continue spreading the disease

[grunthy]

Are you basing that on case totals?

Has Arizona done a lockdown in response to the current outrbreak? NYtimes reported today that the testing situation in the state is a mess and the processing of those tests has a backlog.

The only plausible explanation would be that they've reached like an infection ceiling. That this is the extent that the virus can spread.

No they haven’t locked down yet. But they are fluctuating. Same thing happened everywhere else that had a bad outbreak. Massive quick rise in cases then fluctuated for a week to two weeks then started dropping.

Yeah, but those areas responded with strict commercial lockdowns. If Arizonans are still going to work and such, they are going to continue spreading the disease

It won’t just keep rising exponentially. It eventually hits a ceiling based on how the populace is reacting.

[tifosi77]

I e seen that they’ve tracked a few different “strains” but none more deadly than another.

Back I wanna say 5 or 6 weeks ago there was a study that showed the 'dominant' strain among infections in the NY area had mutated in Europe; it wasn't necessarily any more fatal than the initial strains that came to the US west coast, but it was much more easily transmissible, and also didn't provide post-infection immunity. Aside from that, there haven't been any/many mutations.

[grunthy]

https://news.psu.edu/story/623797/2020/ ... originally

Estimate 4% of the US had Covid by end of March.

[count2infinity]

A family member of mine believes that the current surge in cases we're seeing is due to false positives from testing equipment because she had a friend that tested positive and then negative and negative...

Some people, man...

I tried to explain how testing is far more likely to give false negatives than false positives, so the recent surges couldn't possibly be from false positives. I was greeted with a post about being a kool aid drinker.

[grunthy]

NJ just did a massive data dump of "probable" covid. If you look at their excess death data, they have like 1k extra covid deaths reported than total excess deaths in the state.

[grunthy]

If every state does this, then we are going to see a massive disparity between CDC and states.

[offsides]

Yeah I saw over 1,700 deaths reported by NJ today.

[Troy Loney]

https://news.psu.edu/story/623797/2020/ ... originally

Estimate 4% of the US had Covid by end of March.

I had trouble tracking their methodology. But it seems like they are extrapolating from the fatality rate, no?

[grunthy]

Some states are really looking like they are attributing every excess death and then some to covid.

[Troy Loney]

NJ just did a massive data dump of "probable" covid. If you look at their excess death data, they have like 1k extra covid deaths reported than total excess deaths in the state.

Well, considering how bad the state of testing was at the onset, if there's any validity to that study you just posted, if states are looking to accurately report the impact of COVID, they need to do this.

[grunthy]

https://news.psu.edu/story/623797/2020/ ... originally

Estimate 4% of the US had Covid by end of March.

I had trouble tracking their methodology. But it seems like they are extrapolating from the fatality rate, no?

ILI data.

[grunthy]

NJ just did a massive data dump of "probable" covid. If you look at their excess death data, they have like 1k extra covid deaths reported than total excess deaths in the state.

Well, considering how bad the state of testing was at the onset, if there's any validity to that study you just posted, if states are looking to accurately report the impact of COVID, they need to do this.

Except it doesn’t match what states are reporting to the CDC even accounting for lag time. We are probably going to start way over counting deaths if we do it this way.

[CBear3]

NJ just did a massive data dump of "probable" covid. If you look at their excess death data, they have like 1k extra covid deaths reported than total excess deaths in the state.

I'm not sure how the excess data takes into account the fact that people were at home not doing a darn thing. I mean, in NYC you'd have a drop in pedestrian fatalities to zero based on stay at home orders, how is something like that taken into account? Likewise, suicide or domestic violence increases.

[Troy Loney]

Astonishingly large number of posts from conservatives about being silenced.