Mine is scheduled for late June and we're just now starting to consider alternative options. We probably won't know if we need to postpone until mid May, though. Makes it tough to plan and send out invitations.Two different friends were supposed to get married in May. One pushed back until October, the other is looking for late June, early July. I think the quarantining will be lifted by then, he isn't so sure.
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Thanks.Peak daily case additions is different than peak resource demand. That is New York’s projected peak resource demand.When NY state says 10 to 15 days away and it's barely made a dent in most other places yet?Based on the Kinsa Health, which seems to have been pretty accurate in finding hotspots before COVID statistically spikes in a region, it looks like social distancing is working. They are showing a 5-10 day lag from their data to state data. Based on their data the USA will peak in the next 5 days or so.
Latest in NYC is that peak resource demand is coming 7 to 21 days from now.
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the San Francisco–Oakland–Berkeley metro statistical area population is ~5 million. The New York metro area is ~21 million
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Franc ... tical_Area
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_ ... litan_area
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Franc ... tical_Area
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_ ... litan_area
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plus, I don't have any actual evidence, just anecdotal, but NY is a larger transportation hub. Comparing SF with NYC directly is tough
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Thanks.Peak daily case additions is different than peak resource demand. That is New York’s projected peak resource demand.When NY state says 10 to 15 days away and it's barely made a dent in most other places yet?Based on the Kinsa Health, which seems to have been pretty accurate in finding hotspots before COVID statistically spikes in a region, it looks like social distancing is working. They are showing a 5-10 day lag from their data to state data. Based on their data the USA will peak in the next 5 days or so.
Latest in NYC is that peak resource demand is coming 7 to 21 days from now.
New York is almost tracking “perfectly” with the IHME model from University of Washington. It projected they would have 1537-1572 deaths by today. They are at 1550.
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In chatting with a friend from there he points out that the SF area doesn't have public transport in the way that NYC does either.plus, I don't have any actual evidence, just anecdotal, but NY is a larger transportation hub. Comparing SF with NYC directly is tough
When I was looking at the graph I checked the SF population against NYC. Then 'Bay Area' v. NYC metro area. We can keep moving the goalposts all you want Gaucho but no matter what you do the difference is in orders of magnitude.
The proper thing would be for the author to adjust the graph to reflect per capita data but there wouldn't be a virtue signaling aspect to the article at that point.
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Looking at this website--it says that Pennsylvania normally has 1,043 ICU beds available and New York state has 718. That seems like an absurdly low number for a state as populous as New York---PA's population is roughly 65% what New York's is. Am I missing something here? Illinois has 1,131.http://covid19.healthdata.org/projectionsUgly numbers from NY today.
New York is tracking almost to the T to this model.
Why does New York have such a disproportionately lower number of ICU beds vs. total beds?
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Wolfram Alpha is good at metro comparisons: https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=s ... .+new+york
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That’s just available ICU beds, not total ICU beds in the state.Looking at this website--it says that Pennsylvania normally has 1,043 ICU beds available and New York state has 718. That seems like an absurdly low number for a state as populous as New York---PA's population is roughly 65% what New York's is. Am I missing something here? Illinois has 1,131.http://covid19.healthdata.org/projectionsUgly numbers from NY today.
New York is tracking almost to the T to this model.
Why does New York have such a disproportionately lower number of ICU beds vs. total beds?
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wolfram alpha is good at everything. This was a vital tool for getting a degree in physicsWolfram Alpha is good at metro comparisons: https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=s ... .+new+york
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jesus, if this is true, **** the people who run these hospitals
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... k-to-press
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... k-to-press
Hospitals Tell Doctors They’ll Be Fired If They Speak Out About Lack of Gear
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Variables aside, the Bay area curve would be higher if they delayed their shelter in place order. And the NY curve would be lower if they ordered theirs earlier.SF population is 1/10th the size of the NYC population. I can't click-thru to the article so I'm not sure if that very important distinction is made. And, as usual, you just hoisted it up there without context so I have to approach it with the highest level of scrutiny.
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Hopefully the curve got flattened enough. Can't imagine the added stress. The one that rescheduled already had to find a new venue before the corona struckMine is scheduled for late June and we're just now starting to consider alternative options. We probably won't know if we need to postpone until mid May, though. Makes it tough to plan and send out invitations.Two different friends were supposed to get married in May. One pushed back until October, the other is looking for late June, early July. I think the quarantining will be lifted by then, he isn't so sure.
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I wouldn't be opposed to pushing it back regardless even if restrictions get lifted in time. I imagine most people are still going to be pretty skittish about large gatherings. With 10+ vendors and venue scheduling to deal with, that's not exactly an easy thing to do.Hopefully the curve got flattened enough. Can't imagine the added stress. The one that rescheduled already had to find a new venue before the corona struckMine is scheduled for late June and we're just now starting to consider alternative options. We probably won't know if we need to postpone until mid May, though. Makes it tough to plan and send out invitations.Two different friends were supposed to get married in May. One pushed back until October, the other is looking for late June, early July. I think the quarantining will be lifted by then, he isn't so sure.
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