Bell is entering Y1 of arbitration, which means in 2020 he wont be making the market rate, but he won't be making $587,000 either. he is a free agent after 2022, so the pirates have three years of arbitration. lets play out three scenerios:Either way he would have missed 2020 though, so waiting probably didn’t really matter.Good thing they waited like 4 months to go ahead with the surgery. Feel terrible for the dude. From a fan perspective, I look forward to GMNH getting asked about it and the impact it will have on next season's rotation and his answer being "Well, Chad Kuhl will be coming back".
Hopefully they will do some selling this offseason, they probably have to make everyone available, obviously marte and Vazquez, but bell has to be made available too, he might never be more valuable.
Scenario A: after a offseason of more hard work, bell figures out how to avoid spells where he strikes out 40% of the time, swings at everything, and hits nothing. he puts together two or three more years of all star caliber baseball. RESULT: Pirates won't be able to afford him when he is an FA and probably wont want to afford him in his final year in arbitration when he will make $15 million+. The odds of this team turning it around by 2022 are slim, especially with no top level starting pitching in the pipeline. They sure as **** wont pay him market rate in his free agent years. So you might as well trade him.
Scenario B: He keeps putting together years like he is right now. Result: The odds of this team turning it around by 2022 are slim, especially with no top level starting pitching in the pipeline. Pirates won't want to pay him whatever he gets in arbitration, and they won't want to give him a deal to but out free agent years because they won't pay him market value. So you might as well trade him.
Scenario C: Teams figure out how to continually exploit his flaws and he flames out like pedro. RESULT: like pedro, he goes to Baltimore and stinks.
conclusion: you might as well listen to trade offers because this team will be middling through 2022.