Politics And Current Events

CBear3
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Postby CBear3 » Mon Sep 24, 2018 10:37 pm

BREAKING. Activists just chased@TedCruz out of a fancy Washington DC restaurant, chanting “We Believe Survivors!” Cruz has been friends with creep Kavanaugh for 20 years. Now Cruz is on judiciary committee hearing his testimony. Fascists not welcome! #CancelKavanugh
https://mobile.twitter.com/SmashRacismD ... 0564683776
Ugh. I bet they pat themselves on the back for doing something to better the world too. :face:

MWB
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Postby MWB » Mon Sep 24, 2018 10:39 pm

BREAKING. Activists just chased@TedCruz out of a fancy Washington DC restaurant, chanting “We Believe Survivors!” Cruz has been friends with creep Kavanaugh for 20 years. Now Cruz is on judiciary committee hearing his testimony. Fascists not welcome! #CancelKavanugh
https://mobile.twitter.com/SmashRacismD ... 0564683776
That’s pathetic.

MR25
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Postby MR25 » Mon Sep 24, 2018 10:39 pm

How would you find evidence for someone who was groped and held down in their bedroom by an acquaintance (but managed to break free without any physical damage to them or the accused), with no other witnesses (a date gone bad, basically)?
You can't.

So, in your eyes, you're acting like this basically never happened, because the accuser was able to get away unscathed?
I was always told that if a car was trying to run me off the road, I’d better have made contact on that side or else I fell asleep at wheel.

I appreciate the analogy, but the human body doesn't dent like a car. Physical contact can happen without leaving a mark.

Freddy Rumsen
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Postby Freddy Rumsen » Mon Sep 24, 2018 10:39 pm




Honest question: what would it take for you to believe any sort of sexual assault allegation?
The accusations against Roy Moore were not only substantial, but had actual evidence attached to them.

That doesn't really answer my question. Let me rephrase, because I think I was a little vague with my wording:

What would it take for you to believe an accusation of sexual assault outside of the realm of the political sphere?

For example, a female member of your congregation comes up to you tomorrow and says they were sexually assaulted two months ago and gives you a description of the event where details may be hazy because they've spent the past 2 months trying to block out the memory. Would you believe them?
In that case I would immediately call the police, as according to state and federal law I am a mandatory reporter and would be in serious trouble if I did not do so. In fact, according to my credentialing agency's policies I would immedialty be demitted from office and lose my position.

Fair point. Forgot to consider that was a part of your job duties.

I understand it looks like I'm trying to move the goal posts here, but I'm trying to understand your thought process here.

In a case where you are not a mandatory reporter/in the position where you are mandated to report an accusation, how would you determine whether or not you would believe a sexual assault allegation?
It depends on a lot of factors, tbh. These are four standard questions I always ask myself when hearing any accusation:

1) Is the person making the accusation trustworthy in the main?

2) What do I know about the person being accused?

3) Are there any holes in the story that don't pass a reasonable standard?

4) Is there any corroborating evidence, and if not, do I need that to move forward?

Shyster
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Postby Shyster » Mon Sep 24, 2018 10:40 pm

Japanese train manufacturers are a pita to work with. Mainly because they are perfectionists.
:lol: Saying the Japanese are perfectionists is like saying that the French like drinking wine.

Image

MWB
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Postby MWB » Mon Sep 24, 2018 10:50 pm



The accusations against Roy Moore were not only substantial, but had actual evidence attached to them.

That doesn't really answer my question. Let me rephrase, because I think I was a little vague with my wording:

What would it take for you to believe an accusation of sexual assault outside of the realm of the political sphere?

For example, a female member of your congregation comes up to you tomorrow and says they were sexually assaulted two months ago and gives you a description of the event where details may be hazy because they've spent the past 2 months trying to block out the memory. Would you believe them?
In that case I would immediately call the police, as according to state and federal law I am a mandatory reporter and would be in serious trouble if I did not do so. In fact, according to my credentialing agency's policies I would immedialty be demitted from office and lose my position.

Fair point. Forgot to consider that was a part of your job duties.

I understand it looks like I'm trying to move the goal posts here, but I'm trying to understand your thought process here.

In a case where you are not a mandatory reporter/in the position where you are mandated to report an accusation, how would you determine whether or not you would believe a sexual assault allegation?
It depends on a lot of factors, tbh. These are four standard questions I always ask myself when hearing any accusation:

1) Is the person making the accusation trustworthy in the main?

2) What do I know about the person being accused?

3) Are there any holes in the story that don't pass a reasonable standard?

4) Is there any corroborating evidence, and if not, do I need that to move forward?
That is logical.

Shyster
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Postby Shyster » Mon Sep 24, 2018 10:54 pm

My statement was about believing an accuser. Not about how the judicial system works. It is specifically about belief, because for an accuser to come forward they have to have an expectation that someone will believe what they say. More than evidence comes into play with that.

I don't believe in belief by default. They have a right to levy accusations, but whether the accusations go anywhere depends upon whether there is proof. If no proof, then there is no basis to act on the accusations.
This is an extreme example, and I'm sorry to resort to it, but if you decide tomorrow to get a nice grab of your firm's secretary's knockers, no witnesses and no cameras recording it, according to you that never happened since there would be no physical evidence to prove it? Even though you and your secretary definitely know you did it?

I'm not saying that it never happened. I'm saying that there is no way to prove it happened.

Morkle
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Postby Morkle » Mon Sep 24, 2018 10:56 pm

A potential fourth. The third is said to be releasing info tomorrow per Avenatti.

https://news.vice.com/en_us/article/3ke ... uthorities

MWB
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Postby MWB » Mon Sep 24, 2018 11:00 pm

My statement was about believing an accuser. Not about how the judicial system works. It is specifically about belief, because for an accuser to come forward they have to have an expectation that someone will believe what they say. More than evidence comes into play with that.

I don't believe in belief by default. They have a right to levy accusations, but whether the accusations go anywhere depends upon whether there is proof. If no proof, then there is no basis to act on the accusations.
This is an extreme example, and I'm sorry to resort to it, but if you decide tomorrow to get a nice grab of your firm's secretary's knockers, no witnesses and no cameras recording it, according to you that never happened since there would be no physical evidence to prove it? Even though you and your secretary definitely know you did it?

I'm not saying that it never happened. I'm saying that there is no way to prove it happened.
This is getting into semantics here, but the point is about belief. If the only way you can be open to belief in something is evidence, that is problematic to anyone who would come to you with an accusation. When people think like that, it creates an environment of mistrust.

Shyster
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Postby Shyster » Mon Sep 24, 2018 11:20 pm

This is getting into semantics here, but the point is about belief. If the only way you can be open to belief in something is evidence, that is problematic to anyone who would come to you with an accusation. When people think like that, it creates an environment of mistrust.
I'm sorry, and I know you're being respectful and sincere, but I legit :lol: at the "environment of mistrust." I'm a lawyer. I wouldn't trust most people if they told me grass was green and the sky is blue. ;)

And I certainly not going to blindly trust someone when they're making an accusation that, if true, would result in injury to another person. For example, if John claims that he can drink a bottle of Dave's Insanity Sauce in one go, no one gets injured if John is lying. But if John claims that he was sexually assaulted by a certain person, and John is lying, that other person would sustain serious reputational harm from the false accusation. If John wants me to believe him that he was sexually assaulted, then John has the burden of substantiating his allegations. I am not going to "trust" his claims by default because trusting John would necessarily mean not trusting the other person, and I would have no basis to do that.

MWB
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Postby MWB » Mon Sep 24, 2018 11:27 pm

Either through my lack of clarity, or for some other reason, you’re missing the point.

Kaiser
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Postby Kaiser » Mon Sep 24, 2018 11:42 pm

Cruz has been friends with creep Kavanaugh for 20 years.
Now I think more less of him.

Factorial
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Postby Factorial » Tue Sep 25, 2018 6:37 am

@MichaelAvenatti
Brett Kavanaugh must also be asked about this entry in his yearbook: "FFFFFFFourth of July." We believe that this stands for: Find them, French them, Feel them, Finger them, F*ck them, Forget them. As well as the term "Devil's Triangle." Perhaps Sen. Grassley can ask him. #Basta

grunthy
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Postby grunthy » Tue Sep 25, 2018 7:16 am

@MichaelAvenatti
Brett Kavanaugh must also be asked about this entry in his yearbook: "FFFFFFFourth of July." We believe that this stands for: Find them, French them, Feel them, Finger them, F*ck them, Forget them. As well as the term "Devil's Triangle." Perhaps Sen. Grassley can ask him. #Basta

The stupid flows through Avenatti. He is about to lose his defamation case and possibly not get his depositions in his other case. Can we stop acting like this guy deserves attention?

Freddy Rumsen
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Postby Freddy Rumsen » Tue Sep 25, 2018 7:41 am

@MichaelAvenatti
Brett Kavanaugh must also be asked about this entry in his yearbook: "FFFFFFFourth of July." We believe that this stands for: Find them, French them, Feel them, Finger them, F*ck them, Forget them. As well as the term "Devil's Triangle." Perhaps Sen. Grassley can ask him. #Basta
This is gay frog level stuff.

Factorial
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Postby Factorial » Tue Sep 25, 2018 7:52 am

@MichaelAvenatti
Brett Kavanaugh must also be asked about this entry in his yearbook: "FFFFFFFourth of July." We believe that this stands for: Find them, French them, Feel them, Finger them, F*ck them, Forget them. As well as the term "Devil's Triangle." Perhaps Sen. Grassley can ask him. #Basta

The stupid flows through Avenatti. He is about to lose his defamation case and possibly not get his depositions in his other case. Can we stop acting like this guy deserves attention?
You're angry this morning gunty.

Factorial
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Postby Factorial » Tue Sep 25, 2018 7:55 am

@MichaelAvenatti
Brett Kavanaugh must also be asked about this entry in his yearbook: "FFFFFFFourth of July." We believe that this stands for: Find them, French them, Feel them, Finger them, F*ck them, Forget them. As well as the term "Devil's Triangle." Perhaps Sen. Grassley can ask him. #Basta
This is gay frog level stuff.
:?:

grunthy
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Postby grunthy » Tue Sep 25, 2018 8:24 am

@MichaelAvenatti
Brett Kavanaugh must also be asked about this entry in his yearbook: "FFFFFFFourth of July." We believe that this stands for: Find them, French them, Feel them, Finger them, F*ck them, Forget them. As well as the term "Devil's Triangle." Perhaps Sen. Grassley can ask him. #Basta

The stupid flows through Avenatti. He is about to lose his defamation case and possibly not get his depositions in his other case. Can we stop acting like this guy deserves attention?
You're angry this morning gunty.
I’m glad you’re back. I missed this.

grunthy
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Postby grunthy » Tue Sep 25, 2018 8:27 am

@MichaelAvenatti
Brett Kavanaugh must also be asked about this entry in his yearbook: "FFFFFFFourth of July." We believe that this stands for: Find them, French them, Feel them, Finger them, F*ck them, Forget them. As well as the term "Devil's Triangle." Perhaps Sen. Grassley can ask him. #Basta
This is gay frog level stuff.
:?:

Image

Factorial
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Postby Factorial » Tue Sep 25, 2018 8:30 am

Is it that they are reaching for decode what was meant by "FFFFFFF"?

Freddy Rumsen
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Postby Freddy Rumsen » Tue Sep 25, 2018 8:47 am


Morkle
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Postby Morkle » Tue Sep 25, 2018 8:53 am

I think the decoding thing is absolute hogwash. I also find the way he's gone about announcing this disingenuous. BUT, if this person truly is credible, I'm interested in hearing the details. I would hope that the "yearbook" isn't the only evidence that will be used to claim 100% there was misconduct there. It comes off feeling:

Image
Michael Avenatti
@MichaelAvenatti
4m4 minutes ago
More
Let me be clear: We will disclose the client’s name and accusations only when SHE is ready and we have adequate security measures in place. And not a moment before that. It is her choice and hers alone as to when to surface bc it is her life. We expect it within the next 36 hrs.

grunthy
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Postby grunthy » Tue Sep 25, 2018 8:58 am

I think the decoding thing is absolute hogwash. I also find the way he's gone about announcing this disingenuous. BUT, if this person truly is credible, I'm interested in hearing the details. I would hope that the "yearbook" isn't the only evidence that will be used to claim 100% there was misconduct there. It comes off feeling:

Image
Michael Avenatti
@MichaelAvenatti
4m4 minutes ago
More
Let me be clear: We will disclose the client’s name and accusations only when SHE is ready and we have adequate security measures in place. And not a moment before that. It is her choice and hers alone as to when to surface bc it is her life. We expect it within the next 36 hrs.
Nothing this man says is factual.

Factorial
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Postby Factorial » Tue Sep 25, 2018 9:01 am


Nothing this man says is factual.
Are you disputing the Stormy Daniels story?

grunthy
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Postby grunthy » Tue Sep 25, 2018 9:05 am


Nothing this man says is factual.
Are you disputing the Stormy Daniels story?
No I’m saying her creepy lawyer (who emotionally abuses women) is a fraud, who will probably be debarred soon.

My guess is Trump has hundreds of the NDA with porn stars, prostitutes and others cause he is a sleaze.

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