Politics And Current Events

Tomas
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Postby Tomas » Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:23 pm

Lake is going to win AZ
I refuse to believe this until Tomas tells me people are betting her at at least 94%.
71-29 right now. :)

https://electionbettingodds.com/GovernorsMap2022.html

And, BTW, the chances of D controlling the Senate slightly shrunk from yesterday (from 80% to 75%) because all the 3 remaining races (AZ, NV, GA) tightened. Most importantly, NV went from something like 75% to toss-up (60-40 D).

In other words, all the high-fiveing among Democrats depends on whether Republicans do NOT get two heads in consecutive coin-flips... :)
Last edited by Tomas on Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.

King Colby
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Postby King Colby » Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:29 pm

Biden turns 80 soon fwiw.
Chuck grassly turned 127 last week and just got reelected...

eddy
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Postby eddy » Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:30 pm

Looks like the same thing in 2020, pima and Maricopa outstanding, I don't think Lake pulls it out

AuthorTony
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Postby AuthorTony » Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:31 pm

The democrats are very close to gaining the majority in the PA House. This shocks me even more than Fetterman winning the state.

tifosi77
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Postby tifosi77 » Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:55 pm

Looks like the same thing in 2020, pima and Maricopa outstanding, I don't think Lake pulls it out
Lake has already begun crying foul play, you don't sow doubt over the results of an election you anticipate winning.

shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:02 pm

Mail ins went stronger for Rs this time around?

Shyster
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Postby Shyster » Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:18 pm

The democrats are very close to gaining the majority in the PA House. This shocks me even more than Fetterman winning the state.
Redistricting. The PA Supreme Court ordered the creation of a redistricting board that had 2 Dems, 2 Reps, and former Pitt Chancellor Mark Nordenberg as the chair. It drew the maps. So PA's state districts, like the Congressional districts, are much less gerrymandered than they have been in the past. In particular the new state House map has all sorts if new and different districts around places like Lancaster, Harrisburg, Reading, and Allentown. Not quite as much change around Pittsburgh, although I personally got moved to a different district.

Gaucho
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Postby Gaucho » Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:37 pm

Boebert lost.

"You hate to see it." - viva la ben

shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:42 pm

Boebert lost.

"You hate to see it." - viva la ben
Uhhhh isn't it like a 70 vote gap?

nocera
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Postby nocera » Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:43 pm

Boebert lost.

"You hate to see it." - viva la ben
Last I saw she was only down 73 votes with 95% reporting.

Gaucho
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Postby Gaucho » Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:44 pm

Boebert lost.

"You hate to see it." - viva la ben
Last I saw she was only down 73 votes with 95% reporting.
Yeah, my bad. Sigh ...

faftorial
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Postby faftorial » Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:48 pm

She's make a killing on onlyfans.

eddy
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Postby eddy » Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:49 pm


shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:52 pm

Keep going, I'm almost there

Gaucho
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Postby Gaucho » Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:56 pm

Hobbs and Kelly extend their leads.

shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Wed Nov 09, 2022 9:03 pm

Michigan is a great example of Trump killing the Republicans. Peter Meijer was a really promising young Republican Congressman. Since he didn't support the Big Lie, he got primaried by a psychotic Trumpite who just lost the seat.

RonnieFranchise
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Postby RonnieFranchise » Wed Nov 09, 2022 9:14 pm

The funny thing is Meijer primaried Amash, who Trump wanted out, and Meijer ended up being more along the lines of Amash than Trump, so they primaried him and they lost the seat.

Tomas
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Postby Tomas » Wed Nov 09, 2022 11:39 pm

TIL that John Boozman just became the first Arkansas Republican in history who got elected to the Senate three times.
In an interview, Boozman described the state's evolution from Democrat to Republican as "amazing."

Earlier in his time on Capitol Hill, "I was the only [Republican] official higher than county judge in Arkansas. We were one of the most Democratic states in the country. But we were a very conservative state so that's transitioned now to a very red state," he said.
https://www.arkansasonline.com/news/202 ... resenting/

MalkinIsMyHomeboy
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Postby MalkinIsMyHomeboy » Wed Nov 09, 2022 11:45 pm

“ Cannot load tweet. Disable your adblocker and tracking protection.”

lol I’m on my phone…I ain’t got an adblocker you dingbat Musk

Pavel Bure
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Postby Pavel Bure » Thu Nov 10, 2022 6:05 am

She's make a killing on onlyfans.
I’d take a peek on sites that leak the paid content for free.

Viva la Ben
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Postby Viva la Ben » Thu Nov 10, 2022 6:22 am

There is always Twitch hot tub streaming

obhave
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Postby obhave » Thu Nov 10, 2022 6:26 am

Putting this here because it is a conversation about Biden more thank Musk.

It seems dangerous for a President to say this about a private citizen.


count2infinity
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Postby count2infinity » Thu Nov 10, 2022 6:30 am

Yikes… you know you’re the president, right? You can do that kind of stuff on your own and not announce it.

Unless he already knows something is askew and is hinting it?

Troy Loney
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Postby Troy Loney » Thu Nov 10, 2022 6:41 am

I believe tic tok is scrutinized for its potential ties to the Chinese government, if the saudis have a big ownership stake in twitter, then yeah. Twitter and Elon should be scrutinized

iamjs
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Postby iamjs » Thu Nov 10, 2022 7:37 am

I imagine the 23 year program product manager who was bragging on tiktok last week about how she doesn't do much at work isn't going to have the best of luck with this.


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