The only issue is if it's not Trump, it'll just be a Trump 2.0 candidate
Yes, my fear is that the takeaway will be that 'Trump' is the problem, not Trumpism.
It's hard to overcome the sway he holds, because so many of 'his' candidates murder durdured the viable option in the primary process; by and large GOP voters in most of the country still have a favorable view ofTrump. The fudgey middle bit that might vote either way, the 3-5% that's up for grabs in most elections, want no part of Donald John anymore. They were willing to have a laugh and try "what have you got to lose" in 2016, but this is now three elections in a row where the Trumpy stuff has gotten progressively worse results.
Every indication - even the betting odds! - was that 2022 was going to be a big deal, and it ended up being a raindrop.