Politics And Current Events

nocera
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Postby nocera » Tue Nov 08, 2022 11:27 pm

Please run in 2024, Trump.

Tomas
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Postby Tomas » Tue Nov 08, 2022 11:32 pm

Harvard BA
U Penn MD
U Penn MBA
Columbia U Professor

+ good looking, comfortable with being on TV...

If you told me a random guy with credentials like these would lose... :o

Tomas
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Postby Tomas » Tue Nov 08, 2022 11:51 pm

Chances of 2024 Presidency on https://electionbettingodds.com/:

Trump -3.3% in last day
DeSantis +5.9% in last day

tifosi77
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Postby tifosi77 » Wed Nov 09, 2022 12:01 am

Going into tonight there were 5 House seats that were sort of baked in as guaranteed flips; D seats in Trump districts that had been gerrymandered into a solid R for this year. All 5 of those have broken as expected, but........ sort of nothing else is going that well for the GOP tonight. There really haven't been any 'gotcha' pickups yet, but there are a couple races trending red.

And in fact, at least 2 of those 'sure thing' GOP pickups have been offset by D pickups, plus a gerrymander of their own. They're saying on NBC News that their current projections are House GOP 219 (1 seat majority), but that projection is +/- 13 seats. lol

However things break, this is shaping up to be dramatically against historical precedent. If the Ds hold AZ and [ I forget which state] Senate races, the likely GA runoff next month won't be for 50-50, but for 51-49.

But I am hopeful this cycle puts paid to Beto and Stacey Abrams as statewide candidates. They had their shot(s), step aside pls.

nocera
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Postby nocera » Wed Nov 09, 2022 12:06 am

If tonight doesn’t make the GOP ditch Trump and go with DeSantis, I’m not sure what will.

faftorial
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Postby faftorial » Wed Nov 09, 2022 12:07 am


But I am hopeful this cycle puts paid to Beto and Stacey Abrams as statewide candidates. They had their shot(s), step aside pls.
I'm not a fan of either but both were destined to lose given their voting base.

Morkle
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Postby Morkle » Wed Nov 09, 2022 12:22 am

How many different political positions has Beto ran for and lost? Feels like all of them?

faftorial
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Postby faftorial » Wed Nov 09, 2022 12:32 am

Beto would play well in a liberal areas but not where he's running.

Troy Loney
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Postby Troy Loney » Wed Nov 09, 2022 12:51 am


Shyster
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Postby Shyster » Wed Nov 09, 2022 12:56 am

How many different political positions has Beto ran for and lost? Feels like all of them?
Governor, Senator, and President.

nocera
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Postby nocera » Wed Nov 09, 2022 12:59 am

Only Dr **** Oz could lose to Fetterman after that debate. Go back to Jersey, jag off.

Shyster
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Postby Shyster » Wed Nov 09, 2022 1:25 am

The Dems could also flip Wisconsin. Not much publicity for that race, but that's a super-close race ATM, and there are a lot of votes left in Milwaukee, which heavily leans D.

Does Arizona have some thing where they count half the votes just say, "Whew, that's enough for tonight"?

Tomas
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Postby Tomas » Wed Nov 09, 2022 1:30 am

The Dems could also flip Wisconsin. Not much publicity for that race, but that's a super-close race ATM, and there are a lot of votes left in Milwaukee, which heavily leans D.

Does Arizona have some thing where they count half the votes just say, "Whew, that's enough for tonight"?
People are trading R victory in Wisconsin at 93% (and rising), so that's pretty much sealed

tifosi77
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Postby tifosi77 » Wed Nov 09, 2022 2:29 am

What the holy f**k is a 'Chase Oliver'. lol

count2infinity
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Postby count2infinity » Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:22 am

Pleasantly surprised with the results thus far.

NTP66
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Postby NTP66 » Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:23 am

The next dadhole to post a political poll here should be tarred, feathered, and banned for the day.

skullman80
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Postby skullman80 » Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:24 am

Pleasantly surprised with the results thus far.
This. Could have been way worse. Still have a chance of keeping the Senate.

Still amazed Walker has as many votes as he does.

Troy Loney
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Postby Troy Loney » Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:26 am

Looks like senate is coming down to the Georgia runoff. And that gop wins a narrow House majority, because the ny gerrymander got thrown out and the gop ended up getting a more favorable map than they hap with the prior ny gerrymander.

Seems fitting for some reason

Gaucho
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Postby Gaucho » Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:28 am


count2infinity
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Postby count2infinity » Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:30 am

He ain’t young! I bet he doesn’t drink either.

NTP66
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Postby NTP66 » Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:31 am

TIL that Darren Pang was running for office under a pseudonym.

Troy Loney
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Postby Troy Loney » Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:31 am

Also this 2022 flop from trump candidates is going to probably push the desantis camp to running. I think a 2024 gop primary is going to be amazing

eddy
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Postby eddy » Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:49 am

Also this 2022 flop from trump candidates is going to probably push the desantis camp to running. I think a 2024 gop primary is going to be amazing
I guess that means more Biden

King Colby
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Postby King Colby » Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:50 am

If tonight doesn’t make the GOP ditch Trump and go with DeSantis, I’m not sure what will.
It's not a viable party unless they divorce from Trump. The trump- backed candidates in battleground states didn't do ****.

They overestimated the impact of Trump eliciting whacko turnout vs. pushing normal or more moderate conservatives to vote the other way

shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:18 am

If tonight doesn’t make the GOP ditch Trump and go with DeSantis, I’m not sure what will.
It's not a viable party unless they divorce from Trump. The trump- backed candidates in battleground states didn't do ****.

They overestimated the impact of Trump eliciting whacko turnout vs. pushing normal or more moderate conservatives to vote the other way
:thumb:

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