Fifth Avenue Forum

Super, just what we need here in Jersey

Latest cone.

Honestly, I would not want to be close to the Jersey shore or Long Island for this one. That said, I think we will actually get a lot of benefit from this storm looking at the rainfall forecasts over the next week. A lot of tropical rain.

Cool, we'll be in Virginia beach next week, two years in a row where it rained the entire time.

The Mount Holly NWS office is predicting 2-4 inches of rain for most of the Eastern Seaboard from this, with locally higher amounts. @Morkle That sucks man. It won't ruin your whole week but the red flags will definitely be up on the beach for a while.

If the track holds you guys will be pretty darn close to the center. Let me tell you, I always thought tropical storms were "weak" compared to hurricanes until I rode one out in the OBX. Really made me appreciate just how destructive and powerful those storms are.

The track reminds me of that hurricane from a year or two ago that was similarly bearing down on Florida and just brushed it. Dorian from last year I think.

Matthew had a very similar track. I can remember staying up for the 1am advisory the night before it was due to make landfall and impact Orlando. I saw the wobble east and went to bed that nite knowing we’d be good. Looking forward to a similar wobble this time.

So apparently it’s slow moving and weakened to a tropical storm, but it’s moving slow enough it could go back to being a hurricane?

oh man. that western most track goes right through @MWB's backyard

Ha... guess I’m sheltering in place for the next week.

Next few days are going to be pretty wild. Definitely need to get the lawn mowed ASAP.

Between how long this thing is forecast to maintain tropical storm intensity, on top of the torrential rain up the entire seaboard, I am guessing a lot of trees are coming down.

Wind is even more impressive on the latest advisory. Interesting read on why this thing is *not* going to weaken quickly over land like most tropical storms would.

After landfall, Isaias is forecast to only slowly weaken due to
interaction with an unusually strong winter-type jetstream that will
be possessing winds of 100-120 kt. Expected strong baroclinic
forcing will keep Isaias' circulation intact and also produce very
strong wind gusts along the Mid-Atlantic states tomorrow. As a
result, the gust factors at 24-48 h have been increased above the
standard 20 percent in the Forecast/Advisory (TCMAT4). The cyclone
is forecast to be absorbed by a larger extratropical low over Canada
in 3-4 days.

Probabilities of sustained tropical storm force winds. This has bumped up significantly.

We’ve only been under a flood watch, but next county over (15 minute drive) is under a tropical storm watch.

what county are you guys in?

what county are you guys in?

Man... This storm is spinning off a crap ton of tornadoes up the mid Atlantic. Southeast VA got hammered this morning.

Check out this feed... Nuts. Maryland getting hit hard now too. This will continue the whole way up into Southern New England

https://twitter.com/NWStornado?s=09

Awful.



Can't remember the last time I saw Tropical Storm Warnings from South Carolina to Canada.

Did the @Morkle family go to the beach?

god dammit. 3 years in a row we get porked by a hurricane

Florence **** us up, Dorian knocked down a tree in my front yard and now Isaias put most of Wilmington out of power

Awful.

Horry County is Myrtle Beach, Ocean Isle is in NC. Depending on where those units came from in SC, it’s 40-50 minutes away.

We skirted two bands almost perfectly. No rain or wind after the downpour that canceled my son’s soccer practice.

It has been a wild morning here. We are pushing 6" of rain on the gauge since last night. The center of Isaias is tracking about 40 miles south of me, and I think it's going to end up tracking closer to us than initially thought. Power flickered for a while about an hour ago but it has held on, as has cable and Internet.

Very grateful to have buried lines in our neighborhood.

Yup.

Yikes

It just randomly went from blue skies to big fat raindrop torrential downpour in like 5 minutes here.

Sun is out here NW of Lancaster.

and back to blue skies.