Weather Thread

blackjack68
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Postby blackjack68 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 8:42 am

Super, just what we need here in Jersey

shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 12:39 pm

Latest cone.

Honestly, I would not want to be close to the Jersey shore or Long Island for this one. That said, I think we will actually get a lot of benefit from this storm looking at the rainfall forecasts over the next week. A lot of tropical rain.

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Morkle
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Postby Morkle » Fri Jul 31, 2020 12:56 pm

Cool, we'll be in Virginia beach next week, two years in a row where it rained the entire time.

shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 7:02 am

The Mount Holly NWS office is predicting 2-4 inches of rain for most of the Eastern Seaboard from this, with locally higher amounts. @Morkle That sucks man. It won't ruin your whole week but the red flags will definitely be up on the beach for a while.

If the track holds you guys will be pretty darn close to the center. Let me tell you, I always thought tropical storms were "weak" compared to hurricanes until I rode one out in the OBX. Really made me appreciate just how destructive and powerful those storms are.

The track reminds me of that hurricane from a year or two ago that was similarly bearing down on Florida and just brushed it. Dorian from last year I think.

Orlando Penguin
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Postby Orlando Penguin » Sat Aug 01, 2020 10:11 am

Matthew had a very similar track. I can remember staying up for the 1am advisory the night before it was due to make landfall and impact Orlando. I saw the wobble east and went to bed that nite knowing we’d be good. Looking forward to a similar wobble this time.

Morkle
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Weather Thread

Postby Morkle » Sat Aug 01, 2020 8:10 pm

So apparently it’s slow moving and weakened to a tropical storm, but it’s moving slow enough it could go back to being a hurricane?

MWB
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Postby MWB » Sun Aug 02, 2020 1:47 am

oh man. that western most track goes right through @MWB's backyard
Ha... guess I’m sheltering in place for the next week.

shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Sun Aug 02, 2020 6:35 am

Next few days are going to be pretty wild. Definitely need to get the lawn mowed ASAP.

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shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Mon Aug 03, 2020 6:59 am

Between how long this thing is forecast to maintain tropical storm intensity, on top of the torrential rain up the entire seaboard, I am guessing a lot of trees are coming down.

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shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Mon Aug 03, 2020 12:16 pm

Wind is even more impressive on the latest advisory. Interesting read on why this thing is *not* going to weaken quickly over land like most tropical storms would.
After landfall, Isaias is forecast to only slowly weaken due to
interaction with an unusually strong winter-type jetstream that will
be possessing winds of 100-120 kt. Expected strong baroclinic
forcing will keep Isaias' circulation intact and also produce very
strong wind gusts along the Mid-Atlantic states tomorrow. As a
result, the gust factors at 24-48 h have been increased above the
standard 20 percent in the Forecast/Advisory (TCMAT4). The cyclone
is forecast to be absorbed by a larger extratropical low over Canada
in 3-4 days.
Probabilities of sustained tropical storm force winds. This has bumped up significantly.

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DigitalGypsy66
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Weather Thread

Postby DigitalGypsy66 » Mon Aug 03, 2020 12:28 pm

We’ve only been under a flood watch, but next county over (15 minute drive) is under a tropical storm watch.

meow
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Postby meow » Mon Aug 03, 2020 12:30 pm

what county are you guys in?

DigitalGypsy66
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Postby DigitalGypsy66 » Mon Aug 03, 2020 1:48 pm

what county are you guys in?

shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Tue Aug 04, 2020 7:02 am

Man... This storm is spinning off a crap ton of tornadoes up the mid Atlantic. Southeast VA got hammered this morning.

shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Tue Aug 04, 2020 7:04 am

Check out this feed... Nuts. Maryland getting hit hard now too. This will continue the whole way up into Southern New England

https://twitter.com/NWStornado?s=09

shafnutz05
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Postby shafnutz05 » Tue Aug 04, 2020 8:36 am

Awful.



Can't remember the last time I saw Tropical Storm Warnings from South Carolina to Canada.

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Faftorial
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Postby Faftorial » Tue Aug 04, 2020 9:29 am

Did the @Morkle family go to the beach?

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