Politics And Current Events

CBear3
Posts: 7761
Joined: Fri Mar 27, 2015 10:02 pm
Location: KC, MO

Politics And Current Events

Postby CBear3 » Tue Apr 25, 2023 11:05 am

A common assertion from anti-gun folks that more gun control will be right around the corner once all of the old white gun owners and old white politicians kick the bucket continues to not materialize in polling. To the contrary, assault-weapon bans are most popular among the old and less popular among the young.

A 9 point swing in 1 year seems like poor polling and causes me to disbelieve both polls.

count2infinity
Posts: 35885
Joined: Tue Mar 24, 2015 2:06 pm
Location: All things must pass. With six you get eggroll. No matter how thin you slice it, it's still baloney.
Contact:

Politics And Current Events

Postby count2infinity » Tue Apr 25, 2023 11:06 am

Biden is the Kirk Cousins of politics. Competent enough that he’s better than the alternative but you know you’re not gonna win a Super Bowl with him
There have been no Super Bowl wins in my lifetime
Weird... there have been 36 in mine.

robbiestoupe
Posts: 11630
Joined: Thu Apr 30, 2015 3:27 pm

Politics And Current Events

Postby robbiestoupe » Tue Apr 25, 2023 11:09 am

Biden is the Kirk Cousins of politics. Competent enough that he’s better than the alternative but you know you’re not gonna win a Super Bowl with him
There have been no Super Bowl wins in my lifetime
Weird... there have been 36 in mine.
Presidents you dweeb. And I'm only counting 4 of the football wins as the other 42 in my lifetime were won by the wrong team.

nocera
Posts: 42454
Joined: Fri Mar 27, 2015 10:47 am
Location: He/Him

Politics And Current Events

Postby nocera » Tue Apr 25, 2023 11:12 am


MWB
Posts: 8275
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 10:04 pm

Politics And Current Events

Postby MWB » Tue Apr 25, 2023 12:23 pm

A common assertion from anti-gun folks that more gun control will be right around the corner once all of the old white gun owners and old white politicians kick the bucket continues to not materialize in polling. To the contrary, assault-weapon bans are most popular among the old and less popular among the young.

A 9 point swing in 1 year seems like poor polling and causes me to disbelieve both polls.
Pretty small sample size and pretty large margin of error.

NTP66
Posts: 61240
Joined: Sun Oct 04, 2015 2:00 pm
Location: FUCΚ! Even in the future nothing works.

Politics And Current Events

Postby NTP66 » Tue Apr 25, 2023 3:15 pm

Pack your ****, loser.


nocera
Posts: 42454
Joined: Fri Mar 27, 2015 10:47 am
Location: He/Him

Politics And Current Events

Postby nocera » Tue Apr 25, 2023 3:40 pm

Sorry for your loss, @Tomas

tifosi77
Posts: 51843
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 1:07 pm
Location: Batuu

Politics And Current Events

Postby tifosi77 » Tue Apr 25, 2023 3:43 pm

Who owns "https://electionbettingodds.com/"? Wait until we have news about their business fortunes before we worry about Mr Tomas.

MalkinIsMyHomeboy
Posts: 29724
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 1:45 pm
Location: “MIMH is almost always correct” -ulf

Politics And Current Events

Postby MalkinIsMyHomeboy » Tue Apr 25, 2023 3:47 pm

I know we give Nate Silver a lot of **** but were his models really that far off?

everyone was wrong about the 2016 election, but on 538’s wiki page it sources this article talking about how while 538 was wrong, it gave Trump more of a chance than most pollsters: https://www.thestar.com/news/world/usel ... ction.html


that said, I don’t find polling particularly useful. It’s like the dumb AWS NFL stats where they say “the receiver only had a 0.00001% probability to catch the ball!!!”. Ok…who cares? He caught it, your dumb predictions don’t mean much of anything

Shyster
Posts: 13337
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 6:08 pm
Location: Nullius in verba

Politics And Current Events

Postby Shyster » Tue Apr 25, 2023 3:48 pm


willeyeam
Posts: 39898
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 12:49 pm
Location: hodgepodge of nothingness

Politics And Current Events

Postby willeyeam » Tue Apr 25, 2023 4:13 pm

Sorry for your loss, @Tomas
No tomas since november?

tifosi77
Posts: 51843
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 1:07 pm
Location: Batuu

Politics And Current Events

Postby tifosi77 » Tue Apr 25, 2023 5:29 pm

The polls weren't really wrong, it's just 2016 ended up being the slim chance for Trump that was forecasted. The media are the ones that really got things wrong imo.

Kaiser
Posts: 5441
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 10:35 pm
Location: In these uncertain times

Politics And Current Events

Postby Kaiser » Tue Apr 25, 2023 6:20 pm

It's as if reading minds without the superpower isn't a viable profession.

MalkinIsMyHomeboy
Posts: 29724
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 1:45 pm
Location: “MIMH is almost always correct” -ulf

Politics And Current Events

Postby MalkinIsMyHomeboy » Tue Apr 25, 2023 6:47 pm

I feel like he’s pretty easily going to find new work. I had no idea Disney funded 538 but any smaller media company would be dumb to not get him on board

NTP66
Posts: 61240
Joined: Sun Oct 04, 2015 2:00 pm
Location: FUCΚ! Even in the future nothing works.

Politics And Current Events

Postby NTP66 » Tue Apr 25, 2023 7:16 pm

Yes, very dumb indeed…

NTP66
Posts: 61240
Joined: Sun Oct 04, 2015 2:00 pm
Location: FUCΚ! Even in the future nothing works.

Politics And Current Events

Postby NTP66 » Tue Apr 25, 2023 8:37 pm

:lol:

https://joebiden.com/mimhsucks

Well played, Biden, well played.

Lemon Berry Lobster
Posts: 15514
Joined: Fri May 22, 2015 3:13 pm
Location: dodint is a millennial

Politics And Current Events

Postby Lemon Berry Lobster » Tue Apr 25, 2023 8:41 pm

I hovered over the url like it was a fake phishing email from IT.

NTP66
Posts: 61240
Joined: Sun Oct 04, 2015 2:00 pm
Location: FUCΚ! Even in the future nothing works.

Politics And Current Events

Postby NTP66 » Tue Apr 25, 2023 8:45 pm

He’s using Dark Brandon as his 404 page. I love it.

Also… lol


Pavel Bure
Posts: 7748
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 8:57 pm

Politics And Current Events

Postby Pavel Bure » Wed Apr 26, 2023 12:45 pm

Damn it DNC. Joe **** Biden again. I don’t want octogenarians. And what am I going to do? Vote for the other party who is embracing open fascism. If I didn’t have a family I’d leave this country fast.

tifosi77
Posts: 51843
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 1:07 pm
Location: Batuu

Politics And Current Events

Postby tifosi77 » Wed Apr 26, 2023 12:49 pm

Portugal has more or less halted their 'golden visa' program for now. But if you can invest €500,000 in an owner-occupied residence (or fund a business to the tune of €1,000,000) Spain will gladly welcome you.

NAN
Posts: 11616
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 6:26 pm
Location: shoeshine boy is a lady

Politics And Current Events

Postby NAN » Wed Apr 26, 2023 1:00 pm


nocera
Posts: 42454
Joined: Fri Mar 27, 2015 10:47 am
Location: He/Him

Politics And Current Events

Postby nocera » Wed Apr 26, 2023 1:03 pm

Never bet against the mouse.

tifosi77
Posts: 51843
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 1:07 pm
Location: Batuu

Politics And Current Events

Postby tifosi77 » Wed Apr 26, 2023 1:15 pm

On the one hand, I get that culture war stuff creates some blind spots for people. But on the other........... what the actual f**k is this stunted weeble playing at? lol

Troy Loney
Posts: 27813
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2015 3:03 pm

Politics And Current Events

Postby Troy Loney » Wed Apr 26, 2023 1:17 pm

Conservatives are really destroying the left by taking out (checks notes) giant multinational corporations Disney and annheiser Busch

count2infinity
Posts: 35885
Joined: Tue Mar 24, 2015 2:06 pm
Location: All things must pass. With six you get eggroll. No matter how thin you slice it, it's still baloney.
Contact:

Politics And Current Events

Postby count2infinity » Wed Apr 26, 2023 1:18 pm

I don't even remember at this point... what was Desantis mad at Disney over?

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Defence21 and 102 guests