Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Orlando Penguin
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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby Orlando Penguin » Mon Oct 28, 2019 12:10 pm

1st period over/under update:

OVERS UNDERS PCT.
AVALANCHE 10 1 0.909
CANADIENS 9 2 0.818
SHARKS 9 3 0.750
KNIGHTS 9 4 0.692
RANGERS 6 3 0.667
KINGS 8 4 0.667
SABRES 8 4 0.667
DEVILS 6 3 0.667
BLUES 8 4 0.667
HURRICANES 7 4 0.636
BLUE JACKETS 7 4 0.636
ISLANDERS 7 4 0.636
COYOTES 6 4 0.600
BRUINS 6 5 0.545
PREDATORS 6 5 0.545
SENATORS 6 5 0.545
CAPS 7 6 0.538
MAPLE LEAFS 7 6 0.538
LIGHTNING 5 5 0.500
JETS 6 6 0.500
RED WINGS 6 6 0.500
FLYERS 5 5 0.500
STARS 6 7 0.462
DUCKS 6 7 0.462
OILERS 5 7 0.417
CANUCKS 4 6 0.400
BLACKHAWKS 3 7 0.300
PANTHERS 3 7 0.300
WILD 3 8 0.273
PENGUINS 3 8 0.273
FLAMES 3 10 0.231

mikey
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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby mikey » Mon Oct 28, 2019 9:56 pm

Had Buf/Arz 1P over (hit), Jack Eichel scores + Sabres win (+320) and Jeff Skinner scores + Sabres win (+380). Buffalo goes up 2-0 in the 1st on goals by Eichel and then Skinner. Arizona comes back and ties it at 2-2. Game goes to overtime. The Sabres hit the crossbar three times in OT and lose 1-0 in a shootout...what a bunch of dumb spigots...

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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby Orlando Penguin » Tue Oct 29, 2019 10:02 am

Yep, I had the Sabres too. Their shootout attempts would have been better off tried by bantam players. The first goal Hutton allowed in the 1st period was a sharp angle nothingburger that he failed to hold the post on. Just a kick in the jewels.

Also played the numbers and went under first period for Panthers-Canucks at +125. That lasted about 5 minutes.

mikey
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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby mikey » Tue Oct 29, 2019 12:02 pm

Yeah, I was filing some reports and not watching the Van/Fla game. At about 10:45 ET I checked the score just to see how few goals were scored...bang, 5-1. On the plus side, I had picked up Alexander Edler that morning in fantasy...three apples and a +4, so I'll keep the change on that at least...

I can't believe Buffalo didn't win in OT...that's really costly and dumb...

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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby MalkinIsMyHomeboy » Wed Oct 30, 2019 12:28 am

Argh. At the beginning of the world series I made a bet that the Nats would win game 1 but the Astros would win the series (+550). It worked out swell except now I'm doubting the Astros for game 7, so I hedged it a little bit

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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby Orlando Penguin » Thu Oct 31, 2019 10:44 pm

2 straight nights, I have a team yak a big 3rd period lead to screw me out of cash. Last night, it was the Avs and tonite, it was the Preds. Unreal.

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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby mikey » Fri Nov 01, 2019 6:59 am

Preds cost me...that evens out the miracle -2.5 that the Stars covered when down 3-1 to Minnesota after 2 the other night though...

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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby Orlando Penguin » Mon Nov 11, 2019 12:16 am

Thru November 10. This matrix is based on an over/under 1.5 for the first period. Vegas is starting to adjust a little and putting a few games at 2 in this last week. I'm going to keep the base result at 1.5 goals for consistency.

OVERS UNDERS PCT.
AVALANCHE 15 2 0.882
CANADIENS 12 5 0.706
SABRES 12 5 0.706
BRUINS 12 5 0.706
KNIGHTS 13 6 0.684
SHARKS 12 6 0.667
CAPS 12 6 0.667
KINGS 11 6 0.647
BLUE JACKETS 11 6 0.647
COYOTES 11 6 0.647
SENATORS 10 6 0.625
DEVILS 10 6 0.625
BLUES 11 7 0.611
HURRICANES 10 7 0.588
FLYERS 10 7 0.588
RED WINGS 11 8 0.579
MAPLE LEAFS 11 8 0.579
RANGERS 8 7 0.533
OILERS 10 9 0.526
ISLANDERS 8 8 0.500
CANUCKS 9 9 0.500
DUCKS 9 9 0.500
PREDATORS 8 9 0.471
PANTHERS 8 9 0.471
LIGHTNING 7 8 0.467
JETS 8 10 0.444
STARS 8 10 0.444
WILD 7 10 0.412
BLACKHAWKS 7 10 0.412
PENGUINS 5 11 0.313
FLAMES 5 15 0.250

NailedPenguin
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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby NailedPenguin » Thu Nov 21, 2019 10:00 am

Sick brag went 7-0 last sunday which included four 3 & 4 team parlays. 4-0 in Maction Tuesday and last night. Nailed the Guentzel goal and the over on Tuesday. Only loss suffered was a 1H failed cover on MNF.

Even sicker brag I had the self control to cash it out instead of carry it over and lose it all this weekend.

mikey
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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby mikey » Thu Nov 21, 2019 10:56 am

You lost me at "cash it out"...



(way to go, nicely done)

I've been working on correct scores in hockey...this may be a re-post. But about 28% or 29% of all games end either 3-2 or 4-3. So based on the respective team tactics, I bet those exact scores (on both sides). Often they pay +1700 to +3500, so you just scatter them about a Tue/Thu/Sat night and just hit one to be up money...

Orlando Penguin
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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby Orlando Penguin » Sun Dec 01, 2019 12:11 am

Another 1st period over/under update...keep in mind these numbers are based on a 1.5 goal total. Vegas has adjusted for some games and moved lines to 2, though I've noticed that a lot of the times it goes to 2, under is a big favorite and often comes in.

OVERS UNDERS PCT.
AVALANCHE 21 5 0.808
CANADIENS 17 9 0.654
BLUE JACKETS 17 9 0.654
OILERS 18 10 0.643
SHARKS 18 10 0.643
HURRICANES 18 10 0.643
SABRES 17 10 0.630
KINGS 17 10 0.630
BRUINS 16 10 0.615
KNIGHTS 17 11 0.607
DEVILS 15 10 0.600
RANGERS 14 11 0.560
FLYERS 15 12 0.556
ISLANDERS 13 11 0.542
BLUES 15 13 0.536
MAPLE LEAFS 15 13 0.536
COYOTES 15 13 0.536
SENATORS 14 13 0.519
CANUCKS 14 13 0.519
RED WINGS 15 14 0.517
PREDATORS 13 13 0.500
CAPS 14 14 0.500
LIGHTNING 12 12 0.500
DUCKS 13 14 0.481
PENGUINS 12 14 0.462
JETS 12 15 0.444
BLACKHAWKS 12 15 0.444
PANTHERS 11 15 0.423
STARS 11 16 0.407
WILD 10 16 0.385
FLAMES 7 22 0.241

MalkinIsMyHomeboy
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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby MalkinIsMyHomeboy » Thu Dec 05, 2019 9:15 pm

There's so much value against the Cowboys

Got the Bills at +6 last week and Bears +3 at home tonight

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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby mikey » Sun Dec 08, 2019 8:21 pm

How's this for a Saturday...?

Parlay 1:
Oklahoma, Clemson, Ohio State (3 for 3)

Parlay 2:
Sabres, Lightning, Penguins, Panthers, Hurricanes, Predators, Flames (6 for 7, Buffalo lost in OT...but I had a round robin at 6, so I was ok)

Parlay 3:
Panthers pl, Lightning pl, Hurricanes pl, Penguins pl, Predators pl (5 for 5, plus the 4 bet round robin underneath it)

Cleared a nice little four digit chunk of change, which I didn't even realize until I was out drinking after midnight because I had to coach in the 7 pm slot (won that game too, 8-0)...needless to say, drinks were on me last night...

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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby MalkinIsMyHomeboy » Tue Dec 10, 2019 8:23 pm

How's this for a Saturday...?

Parlay 1:
Oklahoma, Clemson, Ohio State (3 for 3)

Parlay 2:
Sabres, Lightning, Penguins, Panthers, Hurricanes, Predators, Flames (6 for 7, Buffalo lost in OT...but I had a round robin at 6, so I was ok)

Parlay 3:
Panthers pl, Lightning pl, Hurricanes pl, Penguins pl, Predators pl (5 for 5, plus the 4 bet round robin underneath it)

Cleared a nice little four digit chunk of change, which I didn't even realize until I was out drinking after midnight because I had to coach in the 7 pm slot (won that game too, 8-0)...needless to say, drinks were on me last night...
I almost don’t believe you

What are the odds for all of those?

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Making It Interesting (Sports Betting Thread)

Postby mikey » Tue Dec 10, 2019 8:24 pm

The puck line one was +6600

College football one was like -165 or something haha

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