15-16 Fantasy Football thread

Postby **MR25** » Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:55 pm

His last game against GB (3 weeks ago), he went 24/38 with 242 yards, 2 TDs, 1 pick.

I think he'd be able to come close to that.

Postby **mac5155** » Thu Dec 03, 2015 3:52 pm

Jets defense is certainly a lot scarier, especially considering the state of the Giants o-line. I'm rolling with Stafford tonight

Revis is supposedly out, but I agree. Eli under pressure results in pick-city.

Postby **MalkinIsMyHomeboy** » Fri Dec 04, 2015 2:56 pm

Lacy notches back to back 100 yard rushing games.

Naturally, McCarthy gives him 6 touches in an obvious benching situation

Postby **Craig** » Sat Dec 05, 2015 9:10 am

I think i'm leaving Dez on the bench this week in favor of David Johnson.

Postby **Pavel Bure** » Sun Dec 06, 2015 12:11 pm

Pick 1

C. West, j. Maclin, R. Hillman. S. Ware

Postby **MalkinIsMyHomeboy** » Sun Dec 06, 2015 3:42 pm

Pick 1

C. West, j. Maclin, R. Hillman. S. Ware

I'd go Mac

All three of the RBs are in RBBC

Postby **NailedPenguin** » Sun Dec 06, 2015 5:06 pm

I'm gonna vom

Big money league whoever wins my game gets the final playoff spot. I have Russell Wilson and Doug Baldwin sitting. They have almost as many points between them than my opponent. I'm done, clinging to a 25 pt lead and he's got Dez, Witten, and the Steelers D.

Postby **MR25** » Sun Dec 06, 2015 6:35 pm

I thought I was being smart by playing the Giants D over the Eagles, especially considering the Eagles went -3 last week against Detroit.

Was not expecting New England to give up 3 DST TDs.

Postby **MR25** » Sun Dec 06, 2015 6:43 pm

Go **** yourself Philadelphia.

Postby **MalkinIsMyHomeboy** » Sun Dec 06, 2015 11:12 pm

looks like I'm going to end up 10-3, 8-5 and 8-5. I'll end up being the fourth, fifth and second seeds respectively but have solid matchups in the two games (I'll get a bye as the second seed). I'll end up as having 100 more points scored than the team I'm playing in both of them.

Should be fun. I think I should be the favorite in both the fourth and second seed leagues.

Postby **Staggy** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 11:01 am

Unless one of Bell, AP, or Gurley are still there, I'm just going to pass on early running backs next year. Too many injuries, too much volatility in playing time, and there's too many good options that pop up on the waiver wire throughout the season. I'd much rather grab a Brown, Beckham, Julio, etc. than trying to guess if this will be year that Forte falls apart or Ingram goes back to sucking.

Postby **Craig** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 11:11 am

Yeah those guys at the top like bryant and julio are more reliable...

Postby **Staggy** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 11:23 am

It's more the fact that wide receivers get injured at a much less frequent rate than running backs do. The three guys I mentioned rarely get less than 10 targets and are a threat to put up 20+ every week. Plus number one receivers don't just lose their jobs or get their roles cut in half. The running back position this year is probably an outlier but playing Russian roulette with your early picks isn't much fun.

Postby **King Colby** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 4:08 pm

I started out 1-6 in my keeper league and was by far the lowest scoring team. I've been selling players for picks and/or other injured players for the last 3 weeks now. Traded my top 2 WR and my #2 RB so far.

I just won this week and am now 5-6 and will be in the 6th and final playoff spot. Dafuq?

UPDATE:

Just upset the 11-1 first place team to finish the season at 7-6 and make the playoffs as the #4 seed hahaha... I made no further trades so I traded my top 2 WR at the time and my #1 RB then rattled off 6 straight wins...

So long story short I acquired Jamaal Charles and Keenan Allen (potential keepers), a 5th, and a 7th and proceeded to make the playoffs. Such is fantasy football.

Big FA pickups of Shaun Draughn and Buck Allen obviously helped.

Postby **King Colby** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 4:13 pm

I've got to agree with you, staggy. If you can get a front line WR with your pick, it's definitely the safe move. I think Devont'a Freeman was taken in the 11th or 12th round in my league.

Then again, there are always serviceable WR on the waiver wire available to pick up on a matchup basis.

Postby **MalkinIsMyHomeboy** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 4:16 pm

WRs are more volatile in terms of points (lower floor) but are less likely to be injured I think.

this is also why I hate having a top 5 pick. I'd rather have the freedom of a bottom half pick and then a top second round pick.

Postby **Craig** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 4:23 pm

Id rather draft 2 starting running backs. You can find productive wrs at any time.

Postby **King Colby** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 4:24 pm

Oh yeah... if you're a top 3 or 4 pick your pick is basically made for you.

Postby **MalkinIsMyHomeboy** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 4:27 pm

Id rather draft 2 starting running backs. You can find productive wrs at any time.

eh

right now in my three leagues, my running backs are: C. West, Antonio Andrews, James White, Rawls, Buck Allen, Draughn, Ivory, Yeldon, Hillman and Lacy

the only three who I didn't pick up off waivers are Ivory, Yeldon and Lacy

Postby **Craig** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 4:29 pm

I definitely believe that consider who the rest of them are.

Postby **Staggy** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 4:39 pm

The running backs I drafted in one league are Alfred Morris, Joseph Randle, Arian Foster, and Legarrette Blount. Luckily I was able flip Blount for Forte when Forte went down with an injury. I also horde my waiver spot until top flight running back become available so I was able to snag McFadden and Rawls. Obviously you can't count on that sort of luck every year but my top 3 running backs busted and I still ended up with 3 RB1s somehow.

I'd much rather grab some combination of Julio, Beckham, Brown, Gronk, etc. next year and hope to get lucky on a couple mid round running backs. I do agree that if you have a top 3 pick you're probably locked into a RB but I'll consider taking Brown as early as 4 next year.

YouTube · Postby **mikey** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 4:56 pm

Id rather draft 2 starting running backs. You can find productive wrs at any time.

Yes. RB production is tied to carries. There is 1 RB that averages 20 carries per game (Adrian Peterson). In 2010, there was 7. In 2005, there was 12.

There is a group of 10 guys that get 16.5 to 19 carries per game. They are the only guys that average 70 yards per game rushing. All have at least 3 TDs, they average 6 TDs a pop...(this is through 12 games, tonight pending...though the TD metric lowered by Bell, Gurley and Forte all missing multiple games).

Meanwhile, 29 WRs/TEs average 70 yards per game and all have at least 3 TDs (except two, Alshon Jeffrey and Stefon Diggs - they have played half the season). In 2010, 16 guys avg. 70 yds/gm. In 2005, 13 guys.

You can find WR talent at any old time, any old place if a pinch. You can't with a RB.

Postby **Staggy** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 5:33 pm

Where are you finding this WR talent? The only top ten receivers that weren't drafted in the first few rounds are Robinson, Fitz, and Landry. So two second year guys with immense talent and a Hall of Famer coming off a bad year. Sure you can find some 6-7 point guys on the waiver wire but finding Odell Beckhams happen once a decade. Wide receivers don't just go from unknowns to stars like running backs do. A myriad of running backs ranging from serviceable to RB1s pop up on free agency every year. Elite talent at WR translates to elite production a good amount of the time. Elite production at the RB level has never been more inconsistent on a year to year basis.

YouTube · Postby **mikey** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 5:43 pm

In my dynasty league, I find it relatively easy to spot good young WRs. In one year leagues, it's a little tougher, but if you're watching and identifying the burgeoning talent instead of going some list some bozo hocked up then you'll be fine. Sure, you end up with a Ramses Barden or Limas Sweet every once in a while...but I hit pretty often, I have Brandin Cooks, OBJ, Mike Evans (who I don't like really), Hilton, Lockett and more for under $10. I nabbed young Brandon Marshall for nothing, young Vincent Jackson for nothing...Stefon Diggs was a draft pick of mine after I saw him in the preseason...Edelman years ago for $1...

And that's the guys I got...I was all over Amari Cooper of course but he went out of my price range. Just gotta use your face, there's a distinct advantage in fantasy sports for those who watch and vaguely know what talent looks like. I'm far from an NFL scout, but I know what the stars look like when they play, if I see a young kid that looks like Star Player X, I'm gonna draft him...

Postby **Craig** » Mon Dec 07, 2015 5:49 pm

Lafell, that guy on baltimore, marvin jones. All are productive this season.

This year is weird because a ton of people went down and there are a lot of unexpected productive wrs and rbs.

Looking at joe randle as a reason to pass up on rb...well if you drafter him, sure. I drafted dmc though, randle was easy to see as a miss, especially where he was going in most drafts. Career backup that only gets in to give the guy a breather.